How do we know if our air quality measurements are accurate if there are so many monitoring gaps? (Borri_Studio/Shutterstock)
In a nutshell
- Over half of U.S. counties, home to more than 50 million people, lack any air quality monitoring stations, creating vast “monitoring deserts” where pollution levels are unknown.
- These blind spots disproportionately affect rural areas and counties with higher poverty rates, lower education levels, and larger Black populations, raising serious environmental justice concerns.
- Without local monitoring, residents may be misled by air quality apps and miss warnings about dangerous pollution events like wildfires, putting their health at risk.
UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. — The air you breathe might be dirtier than you think, and millions of Americans would never know it. A new study from Penn State reveals that nearly 60% of U.S. counties lack even a single air quality monitoring station, creating vast “monitoring deserts” where over 50 million people are flying blind about what’s actually in their air. This monitoring gap leaves one in every six Americans essentially guessing about what they’re breathing.
“Air pollution affects everyone’s health, so it is important for everyone in the nation to have access to accurate information about the quality of the air they breathe,” says lead study author Nelson Roque from Penn State, in a statement. “Where we don’t collect data, the threat and impact of pollution are invisible.”
Millions Left in the Dark About Air Quality
The study, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, reveals a startling gap in America’s environmental surveillance system: 58.8% of U.S. counties, home to more than 50 million people, don’t have a single air quality monitoring station. These “monitoring deserts” cover approximately 40% of the nation’s land area, creating blind spots in our understanding of pollution exposure and its health effects.
Examining the demographic and socioeconomic patterns of these monitoring deserts reveals which communities are essentially invisible to our current data collection infrastructure. Their findings show that the current environmental monitoring approach systematically misses specific populations.
“Exposure to air pollution has been directly and indirectly linked to cancers, cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, immune disorders, and more,” says co-author Alexis Santos from Penn State. “If we are not measuring air quality in large regions of the country, then we do not know how significant air pollution problems are. For example, if there is wildfire in a county with no air quality monitoring site, how will people know whether it is safe to sleep in their homes or work at their places of business?”
Who’s Left Off the Map
Study results expose troubling patterns in who’s left in the dark about their air quality. Rural counties and those with higher concentrations of historically marginalized communities are significantly more likely to lack monitoring infrastructure. This revelation comes as climate change intensifies wildfires, extreme weather events, and other pollution sources across the country.
Study authors analyzed the Environmental Protection Agency’s September 2024 directory of active air quality monitoring sites and mapped their distribution across the United States. The results show striking regional disparities, with the Midwest and South having far fewer monitoring stations than the West and Northeast.
In Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, and South Dakota, approximately 80% or more of the counties are classified as monitoring deserts. Meanwhile, Connecticut and Delaware have achieved full coverage, with monitoring stations in every county.
Counties with higher poverty rates, less educated populations, and those where more residents work in agriculture, forestry, fishing, or mining were significantly more likely to lack monitoring stations.
As the concentration of African American/Black residents in a county increases, so do the odds of that county being classified as a monitoring desert. This pattern was particularly evident in what’s known as the “Southern Black Belt,” a region with historically high African American populations that showed extensive monitoring gaps.
The researchers acknowledge that population density and distance from metropolitan areas may explain some of these patterns, but their analysis shows that even after controlling for population size, significant correlations remained between monitoring deserts and factors like race and rural status.
When Your Air Quality App Can’t Help You
Why does this matter for everyday Americans? Air quality is directly linked to numerous health conditions, including respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, cognitive decline, and premature death. According to the World Health Organization, air pollution causes approximately 7 million premature deaths globally each year.
Air quality estimates for counties without monitoring stations must rely on data collected elsewhere, potentially missing important local pollution events or conditions that affect residents’ health.
Consider the weather app on your phone. When it shows an air quality reading for your location, that data might actually come from a monitoring station many miles away, potentially missing localized pollution issues in your immediate area. For the millions of Americans living in monitoring deserts, these estimates could be significantly inaccurate.
The study also examined historical trends in monitoring station openings and closings since 1957. Of the 20,815 monitoring sites that have been active since that year, only 23.2% (4,821 stations) remain open today. The researchers noted an exponential increase in station openings during the first 25 years of monitoring, followed by a more gradual linear trend leading up to 2024.
With wildfire activity increasing across North America, bringing smoke and pollution to regions unaccustomed to such hazards, air quality is becoming more of a concern for the nation’s citizens. The June 2023 Canadian wildfire event that caused New York City to temporarily have “the worst air quality in the world” highlighted the growing importance of comprehensive monitoring.
“This leaves people in rural areas vulnerable to increased exposure to air pollution from wildfires, agriculture, industrial activities, and other sources. As a society, we need to invest in air-quality monitoring if we want to keep people safe and save on the long-term costs of pollution exposure,” says Santos.
Without addressing these monitoring gaps, our understanding of environmental health and the policies designed to protect it will remain incomplete, leaving millions of Americans vulnerable to unseen dangers in the very air they breathe. The invisible problem of monitoring deserts is only growing with climate change and demands our attention.
Paper Summary
Methodology
Researchers used the Environmental Protection Agency’s AirData monitoring sites directory from September 2024 to identify active air quality monitoring stations across the United States. They excluded 42 sites at U.S. borders and 27 in U.S. territories, analyzing the remaining 20,815 monitoring sites active between 1957 and 2024. Counties without a single active monitoring station were classified as “air quality monitoring deserts.” The team merged this data with demographic and socioeconomic indicators from the 2017-2021 American Community Survey and the 2013 USDA Rural-Urban Continuum Codes. They then used logistic regression models to determine which factors were associated with a county being a monitoring desert, examining variables like poverty rates, education levels, racial composition, metropolitan status, and employment sectors.
Results
The analysis revealed that 1,848 counties (58.8% of all U.S. counties) are air quality monitoring deserts, covering about 40% of the nation’s land area and affecting more than 50 million people (15.3% of the population). Regional disparities were significant, with the Midwest and South having far more monitoring deserts than the West and Northeast. In the Southern region, 828 counties (66% of the 1,243 counties in the region) lacked monitoring stations, with particularly high concentrations in the “Southern Black Belt.” Nonmetropolitan counties and those with higher percentages of African American/Black residents had significantly higher odds of being monitoring deserts. Counties with higher poverty rates and lower educational attainment were also more likely to lack monitoring stations. Of the 20,815 monitoring sites established since 1957, only 4,821 (23.2%) remain active today.
Limitations
The study primarily focused on the presence or absence of monitoring stations without analyzing the type or quality of monitoring equipment, which pollutants are being monitored, or inconsistencies in reporting frequencies. The researchers note there may be local monitoring efforts or systems that don’t communicate with the EPA’s air quality monitoring products, potentially creating undercounted monitoring in some areas. The study also didn’t assess the accuracy of air quality estimates provided in monitoring deserts or evaluate how well interpolated data represents actual conditions in unmonitored areas.
Funding and Disclosures
The research was supported by the Population Research Institute (NICHD, P2CHD041025), the Social Sciences Research Institute (SSRI), the Data Accelerator, the Center for Healthy Aging, and the College of Health and Human Development at Pennsylvania State University. Lead author Nelson Roque received support from the Einstein Aging Study (NIA, P01AG03949), while co-author Alexis R. Santos was supported by the John Nesselroade Endowment in the College of Health and Human Development at Pennsylvania State University. The authors declared no competing interests.
Publication Information
The study titled “Identifying air quality monitoring deserts in the United States” was authored by Nelson A. Roque, Hailey Andrews, and Alexis R. Santos-Lozada from the Department of Human Development and Family Studies and the Center for Healthy Aging at Pennsylvania State University. It was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) on April 21, 2025 (Volume 122, Number 17 with the identifier e2425310122). The article is available as open access under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0.