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In a nutshell

  • When people in other democracies learn about U.S. democratic backsliding, they view America less favorably, showing a consistent decline in ratings across 12 countries studied.
  • Despite damage to America’s image, democratic backsliding doesn’t reduce foreign public support for cooperating with the U.S. on important policies like security agreements or economic partnerships.
  • The findings challenge assumptions about how soft power works, suggesting foreign nations can separate their opinions about U.S. democracy from decisions about practical cooperation where interests align.

HANOVER, N.H. — When other countries hear about America’s democratic troubles, they like us less—but they’ll still work with us. That’s the key finding from new research examining how U.S. democratic decline affects its image abroad, particularly among allied democracies.

While news about events like the January 6th Capitol riot and controversial voting laws damages America’s favorability ratings, it doesn’t seem to reduce foreign public support for cooperating with the U.S. on important policies.

For years, foreign policy experts have warned that eroding democracy at home might weaken America’s position internationally. This study, the first of its kind to test this theory experimentally, suggests the reality is more complicated.

Researchers from Dartmouth College, Florida State University, and Australian National University conducted three survey experiments spanning 12 countries across Europe, Asia, and the Anglosphere, polling nearly 12,000 people. They randomly assigned some participants to read about U.S. democratic backsliding before asking about their views toward America.

Democratic backsliding refers to the erosion or weakening of democratic institutions, norms, and practices within an established democracy. It includes things like reducing voting rights, undermining free and fair elections, challenging peaceful transfers of power, increasing political polarization, and diminishing checks and balances between branches of government. Rather than a sudden collapse of democracy, it’s typically a gradual process where democratic elements deteriorate over time.

The backsliding information described problems like the Capitol insurrection, voting restrictions, and growing political polarization. Control groups received no such information. In later studies, some participants also read about U.S. economic problems instead of democratic ones.

Across all experiments, those who read about democratic backsliding consistently rated the U.S. less favorably than those who didn’t. The decrease in favorability was moderate but meaningful—about 42% of a standard deviation on the rating scale.

Democracy highlighted in dictionary
While a polarized county is challenging the definition of democracy in the United States, it doesn’t seem to impact other countries’ willingness to work with our government.(© Feng Yu – stock.adobe.com)

Interestingly, when people read about U.S. economic problems rather than democratic ones, their opinion of America didn’t significantly change. This suggests there’s something particularly damaging about democratic decline for America’s global standing.

The researchers also found that information about democratic backsliding made people rate U.S. democracy lower, view the U.S. government as less stable, and believe America is getting weaker.

But when it came to actual policies, perceptions changed little. In follow-up studies in New Zealand, Japan, India, and South Korea, researchers asked whether people who learned about America’s democratic problems would be less supportive of cooperating with the U.S. on various initiatives.

These policies included whether their country should prioritize economic relations with the U.S. over China, strengthen security arrangements like the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (the “Quad”), support Ukraine, and other region-specific issues.

“In our exploratory analysis, we find little evidence that it decreases support for cooperating with the U.S.,” the researchers write in their paper. “While America’s global image may suffer from international reporting focused on the degradation of its longstanding democratic system, its ability to garner support for critical policies seems resilient in some important partner countries.”

The findings challenge simplistic views about how “soft power”—the ability to influence through attraction rather than coercion—works in practice. While democratic values help make America attractive globally, foreign publics seem able to separate their opinions about U.S. democracy from judgments about specific cooperation where interests align.

The research doesn’t suggest Americans can simply ignore the eroding democracy at home. The damage to U.S. favorability ratings is real and consistent. But it does indicate that the consequences for America’s international influence might be less dire than some have predicted. It remains to be seen how President Trump’s tariffs will change that outcome, if at all.

For U.S. policymakers, the message is mixed: Fix democratic problems because they hurt America’s image abroad, but take comfort that key partnerships may endure despite these troubles.

Paper Summary

Methodology

Researchers conducted three separate survey experiments in 12 democratic countries with 11,810 total respondents. Study 1 included 7,295 participants from nine European and Anglosphere democracies (Australia, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, and the United Kingdom). Study 2 focused on 1,501 respondents from New Zealand, while Study 3 examined 3,014 participants from India, Japan, and South Korea. Participants were randomly assigned to treatment and control groups. The treatment group read information about American democratic backsliding, highlighting issues like voting restrictions and the January 6th Capitol riot. In Studies 2 and 3, researchers added an alternative treatment about U.S. economic decline to test whether any negative information would affect favorability. Participants answered questions about their views of the U.S. and, in later studies, about support for specific cooperation policies with America.

Results

Information about U.S. democratic backsliding consistently decreased favorability toward America across all studies. The effect size was around 0.095 units on a 4-point scale, representing about 42% of a standard deviation—a moderate but meaningful effect. Information about economic decline, by contrast, did not significantly affect favorability ratings. The backsliding information also decreased participants’ rating of U.S. democracy, perceptions of U.S. government stability, and belief that America is getting stronger. However, in exploratory analyses, researchers found that backsliding information generally did not reduce support for cooperation with the U.S. on policy issues such as joining security arrangements, prioritizing economic relations with America over China, or supporting Ukraine—suggesting a disconnect between general image and policy support.

Limitations

The research focused primarily on U.S. democratic partners, limiting generalizability to non-democratic countries or nations with antagonistic relationships with America. The exploratory analyses on policy support included a relatively small number of policy questions in just four countries, indicating the need for further research. The study measured immediate reactions to information rather than long-term opinion shifts that might occur with sustained exposure to news about U.S. democratic problems. One statistically significant finding (decreased New Zealand support for joining AUKUS) may be due to chance or specific circumstances during data collection.

Funding & Disclosures

The research was funded by Dartmouth College and the Dickey Center for International Understanding. The authors declared no competing interests.

Publication Information

The paper “Democratic Backsliding Damages Favorable U.S. Image Among the Global Public” was authored by Benjamin E. Goldsmith (Australian National University), Yusaku Horiuchi (Dartmouth College), Kelly Matush Florida State University, and Kathleen E. Powers (Dartmouth College). It was compiled on March 28, 2025, and published in PNAS Nexus (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences).

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